[
  {
    "id": "A1",
    "title": "Goldstone 2001 Toward a Fourth Generation of Revolutionary Theory",
    "url": "https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev.polisci.4.1.139",
    "type": "Academic synthesis",
    "note": "Conditions interact; this is not an additive revolution formula."
  },
  {
    "id": "A2",
    "title": "Skocpol 1979 States and Social Revolutions",
    "url": "https://www.cambridge.org/core/books/states-and-social-revolutions/A4A4926D8BCB40269FB55582E870D7F1",
    "type": "Academic book",
    "note": "State crisis and social revolution; historical scope matters."
  },
  {
    "id": "A3",
    "title": "Gurr Why Men Rebel",
    "url": "https://www.routledge.com/Why-Men-Rebel/Gurr/p/book/9781315631073",
    "type": "Academic book",
    "note": "Relative deprivation concerns perceived expectations and capabilities, not national poverty alone. Access note: this primary-source destination restricted the automated link check; its availability may depend on browser or institutional access. The curated case evidence is included in the game."
  },
  {
    "id": "A4",
    "title": "McCarthy and Zald 1977 Resource Mobilization and Social Movements",
    "url": "https://doi.org/10.1086/226464",
    "type": "Original research",
    "note": "Access note: this primary-source destination restricted the automated link check; its availability may depend on browser or institutional access. The curated case evidence is included in the game."
  },
  {
    "id": "A5",
    "title": "Kuran 1991 Now Out of Never",
    "url": "https://doi.org/10.2307/2010422",
    "type": "Original research",
    "note": "A sudden crowd alone cannot demonstrate preference falsification."
  },
  {
    "id": "A6",
    "title": "Bellin 2012 Reconsidering the Robustness of Authoritarianism",
    "url": "https://www.brandeis.edu/politics/people/faculty/pdfs/bellin-reconsidering-the-robustness.pdf",
    "type": "Original research",
    "note": "Access note: this primary-source destination restricted the automated link check; its availability may depend on browser or institutional access. The curated case evidence is included in the game."
  },
  {
    "id": "A7",
    "title": "Beck et al 2022 On Revolutions",
    "url": "https://www.ericachenoweth.com/research/on-revolutions",
    "type": "Academic book",
    "note": "Use the uploaded book for assigned reading, especially chapters 1, 2, 4 and 5."
  },
  {
    "id": "A8",
    "title": "Chenoweth and Stephan Why Civil Resistance Works and 2026 corrections",
    "url": "https://www.ericachenoweth.com/research/wcrw",
    "type": "Academic book and corrections",
    "note": "This quest does not reproduce historical campaign-success percentages or a 3.5% victory rule."
  },
  {
    "id": "T1",
    "title": "IMF Tunisia 2012 Article IV Consultation",
    "url": "https://www.elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/002/2012/255/article-A001-en.xml",
    "type": "Retrospective institutional analysis",
    "note": "2010 INS figures reproduced in the 2012 IMF source vintage: 13.0% overall and 29.4% among the youth labor force aged 15-24. Official PDF fallback: https://www.imf.org/-/media/websites/imf/imported/external/pubs/ft/scr/2012/_cr12255pdf.pdf"
  },
  {
    "id": "T2",
    "title": "IUF UGTT takes strike action in support of Tunisia protests 14 January 2011",
    "url": "https://www.iuf.org/news/ugtt-takes-strike-action-in-support-of-tunisia-protests/",
    "type": "Contemporaneous union report",
    "note": "Interested participant; a report of action does not estimate its independent effect."
  },
  {
    "id": "T3",
    "title": "Grewal How Disinformation Fueled the Tunisian Revolution 12 January 2024",
    "url": "https://www.belfercenter.org/publication/how-disinformation-fueled-tunisian-revolution-0",
    "type": "Retrospective scholar analysis",
    "note": "Distinguishes rumored order refusal from conduct and beliefs about conduct."
  },
  {
    "id": "T4",
    "title": "Grewal Tunisia Shirking in the Revolution 2023",
    "url": "https://academic.oup.com/book/46755/chapter-abstract/414397497",
    "type": "Original regional research",
    "note": "Publisher chapter abstract may require institutional access. T3 provides the author's accessible summary of the disputed refusal claim; it is not a substitute for the full chapter."
  },
  {
    "id": "T5",
    "title": "CRS Political Transition in Tunisia 2 February 2011",
    "url": "https://www.everycrsreport.com/files/20110202_RS21666_302717cf83bb38f733402ccf8018d39e52368fd5.html",
    "type": "Institutional research hosted in a CRS archive",
    "note": ""
  },
  {
    "id": "T6",
    "title": "Venice Commission Tunisia constitution adopted 26 January 2014",
    "url": "https://www.coe.int/en/web/venice-commission/-/event-1818",
    "type": "Institutional record",
    "note": ""
  },
  {
    "id": "T7",
    "title": "Nobel Committee National Dialogue Quartet 2015 announcement",
    "url": "https://www.nobelprize.org/prizes/peace/2015/press-release/",
    "type": "Retrospective institutional statement",
    "note": "Commemorative recognition is not causal identification."
  },
  {
    "id": "T8",
    "title": "Library of Congress Tunisia New Constitution Consolidates Presidential Powers 23 August 2022",
    "url": "https://www.loc.gov/item/global-legal-monitor/2022-08-23/tunisia-new-constitution-consolidates-powers-in-the-hands-of-the-president/",
    "type": "Retrospective legal account",
    "note": ""
  },
  {
    "id": "E1",
    "title": "ITUC Egypt Supports Strikes and Protests 9 February 2011",
    "url": "https://www.ituc-csi.org/egypt-ituc-supports-strikes-and.html",
    "type": "Contemporaneous union report",
    "note": "Reports strikes in multiple sectors; explicitly says maritime traffic was not affected."
  },
  {
    "id": "E2",
    "title": "CRS Egypt The January 25 Revolution and Implications for US Foreign Policy 11 February 2011",
    "url": "https://www.everycrsreport.com/files/20110211_RL33003_db7b105c210af3966a794ef1f73ba0268f00e7b4.html",
    "type": "Institutional research hosted in a CRS archive",
    "note": "FY2010 aid is historical; report release is after the initial case boundary."
  },
  {
    "id": "E3",
    "title": "Egypt State Information Service Supreme Council of the Armed Forces",
    "url": "https://sis.gov.eg/en/egypt/egyptian-figures/the-supreme-council-of-the-armed-forces/",
    "type": "Government retrospective record",
    "note": "Government retrospective record. If the page is unavailable, E2/E5 provide bounded contemporaneous institutional reporting; do not treat government framing as an independent democracy rating."
  },
  {
    "id": "E4",
    "title": "Carter Center Egypt Presidential Election Final Report 2012",
    "url": "https://www.cartercenter.org/publication/final-report-presidential-election-in-egypt-may-june-2012/",
    "type": "Election observation report",
    "note": "Official replacement for the retired PDF URL. Report dated 21 December 2012; a limited witnessing mission, not unrestricted observation or blanket certification."
  },
  {
    "id": "E5",
    "title": "CRS Egypt in Crisis 12 September 2013",
    "url": "https://www.everycrsreport.com/reports/R43183.html",
    "type": "Institutional research hosted in a CRS archive",
    "note": ""
  },
  {
    "id": "E6",
    "title": "CRS Egypt Background and US Relations historical account",
    "url": "https://www.congress.gov/crs_external_products/RL/PDF/RL33003/RL33003.122.pdf",
    "type": "Retrospective institutional research",
    "note": "Historical 2014 account only. Automated access can be restricted. E5 supplies the 2013 removal sequence; E7 supplies historical 2014 appointment rules."
  },
  {
    "id": "B1",
    "title": "OSCE ODIHR Belarus protests 10 August 2020",
    "url": "https://odihr.osce.org/odihr/belarus/459664",
    "type": "Contemporaneous observation statement",
    "note": "ODIHR did not observe the election because it received no timely invitation."
  },
  {
    "id": "B2",
    "title": "Council of EU Belarus inauguration declaration 24 September 2020",
    "url": "https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/press/press-releases/2020/09/24/belarus-declaration-by-the-high-representative-on-behalf-of-the-european-union-on-the-so-called-inauguration-of-aleksandr-lukashenko/",
    "type": "Contemporaneous institutional position",
    "note": "EU judgment of legitimacy and evidence of continuing officeholding are different claims."
  },
  {
    "id": "B3",
    "title": "UN High Commissioner Belarus statement 4 December 2020",
    "url": "https://belarus.un.org/be/node/103727",
    "type": "Contemporaneous UN statement",
    "note": "UN statement: more than 27,000 people reportedly arrested since 9 August. Not a count of people still detained, nor a verified measure of every arrest."
  },
  {
    "id": "L1",
    "title": "UN Geneva briefing Sri Lanka 5 April 2022",
    "url": "https://www.ungeneva.org/en/news-media/bi-weekly-briefing/2022/04/regular-press-briefing-united-nations-information-service-5",
    "type": "Contemporaneous UN briefing",
    "note": ""
  },
  {
    "id": "L2",
    "title": "Central Bank Sri Lanka Inflation in June 2022 CCPI 30 June 2022",
    "url": "https://www.cbsl.gov.lk/en/news/inflation-in-june-2022-ccpi",
    "type": "Official economic release",
    "note": "Colombo CPI headline year-on-year inflation, base 2013=100. May 39.1%, June 54.6%. Access note: this primary-source destination restricted the automated link check; its availability may depend on browser or institutional access. The curated case evidence is included in the game."
  },
  {
    "id": "L3",
    "title": "Parliament Sri Lanka sitting 16 July 2022 resignation effective 14 July",
    "url": "https://www.parliament.lk/en/home/business-of-the-house/view/2655",
    "type": "Parliamentary record",
    "note": "Parliament's unedited sitting summary points to Hansard for the official record; resignation effective 14 July, summary dated 16 July."
  },
  {
    "id": "L4",
    "title": "Parliament Sri Lanka presidential election 20 July 2022",
    "url": "https://www.parliament.lk/en/home/business-of-the-house/view/2663",
    "type": "Parliamentary record",
    "note": "Unedited account directs readers to Hansard. 219 valid MP ballots, not national popular votes."
  },
  {
    "id": "L5",
    "title": "Council of EU Sri Lanka declaration 22 July 2022",
    "url": "https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/press/press-releases/2022/07/22/sri-lanka-declaration-by-the-high-representative-on-behalf-of-the-european-union-on-recent-developments/",
    "type": "Contemporaneous institutional statement",
    "note": ""
  },
  {
    "id": "D1",
    "title": "IES Organizing Instruction and Study to Improve Student Learning",
    "url": "https://ies.ed.gov/ncee/wwc/PracticeGuide/1",
    "type": "Learning research practice guide",
    "note": "Supports instructional design choices; does not validate this game or its target timing."
  },
  {
    "id": "T9",
    "title": "Grewal A Quiet Revolution The Tunisian Military After Ben Ali 24 February 2016",
    "url": "https://carnegieendowment.org/research/2016/02/a-quiet-revolution-the-tunisian-military-after-ben-ali?center=global",
    "type": "Original regional research",
    "note": "Retrospective institutional account drawing on interviews; its 2016 expectations are not permanent outcome labels."
  },
  {
    "id": "T10",
    "title": "Carter Center Tunisia Election Observation Mission Report excerpt 28 December 2015",
    "url": "https://electionstandards.cartercenter.org/2015/12/28/tunisia-election-observation-mission-report/",
    "type": "Retrospective election observation report",
    "note": "Reports on implemented 2014 legislative and presidential elections. Genuine choice and orderly polling coexist with legal and administrative weaknesses."
  },
  {
    "id": "T11",
    "title": "CRS Political Transition in Tunisia 11 August 2015",
    "url": "https://www.everycrsreport.com/files/20150811_RS21666_8d04bec3e9b441a008b97d14260827967faa104c.html",
    "type": "Retrospective institutional research",
    "note": "Describes the negotiated technocratic transition and acceptance of 2014 results; archival host reproduces CRS, not the original publisher."
  },
  {
    "id": "E7",
    "title": "Egypt Constitution historical 2014 text Article 234",
    "url": "https://www.constituteproject.org/constitution/Egypt_2014",
    "type": "Primary legal text in translation",
    "note": "Historical 2014 version, not the amended 2019 text. SCAF approval for appointment of the defense minister, specified for two full presidential terms from entry into effect. A formal rule does not prove every actual decision."
  },
  {
    "id": "B4",
    "title": "OSCE Moscow Mechanism rapporteur report on Belarus 5 November 2020",
    "url": "https://odihr.osce.org/sites/default/files/f/documents/2/b/469539_0.pdf",
    "type": "Independent fact-finding report",
    "note": "Wolfgang Benedek, cover dated 29 October, presented 5 November. Printed pages 33-34 discuss factory strikes, dismissal threats and detained strike leaders. Remote interviews/submissions; Belarus declined participation."
  },
  {
    "id": "L6",
    "title": "UN Resident Coordinator interview on Sri Lankan crisis 17 May 2022",
    "url": "https://srilanka.un.org/en/182178-un-resident-coordinator-hanaa-singer-hamdys-interview-un-news-sri-lankan-crisis",
    "type": "Contemporaneous institutional interview",
    "note": "Hanaa Singer-Hamdy interviewed 13 May, published 17 May. Describes participating organizations and functioning technical ministries from the UN's position; not a causal estimate."
  }
]