Check the source.

A1 · Goldstone 2001 Toward a Fourth Generation of Revolutionary Theory

Academic synthesis

Conditions interact; this is not an additive revolution formula.

A2 · Skocpol 1979 States and Social Revolutions

Academic book

State crisis and social revolution; historical scope matters.

A3 · Gurr Why Men Rebel

Academic book

Relative deprivation concerns perceived expectations and capabilities, not national poverty alone. Access note: this primary-source destination restricted the automated link check; its availability may depend on browser or institutional access. The curated case evidence is included in the game.

A4 · McCarthy and Zald 1977 Resource Mobilization and Social Movements

Original research

Access note: this primary-source destination restricted the automated link check; its availability may depend on browser or institutional access. The curated case evidence is included in the game.

A5 · Kuran 1991 Now Out of Never

Original research

A sudden crowd alone cannot demonstrate preference falsification.

A6 · Bellin 2012 Reconsidering the Robustness of Authoritarianism

Original research

Access note: this primary-source destination restricted the automated link check; its availability may depend on browser or institutional access. The curated case evidence is included in the game.

A7 · Beck et al 2022 On Revolutions

Academic book

Use the uploaded book for assigned reading, especially chapters 1, 2, 4 and 5.

A8 · Chenoweth and Stephan Why Civil Resistance Works and 2026 corrections

Academic book and corrections

This quest does not reproduce historical campaign-success percentages or a 3.5% victory rule.

T1 · IMF Tunisia 2012 Article IV Consultation

Retrospective institutional analysis

2010 INS figures reproduced in the 2012 IMF source vintage: 13.0% overall and 29.4% among the youth labor force aged 15-24. Official PDF fallback: https://www.imf.org/-/media/websites/imf/imported/external/pubs/ft/scr/2012/_cr12255pdf.pdf

T2 · IUF UGTT takes strike action in support of Tunisia protests 14 January 2011

Contemporaneous union report

Interested participant; a report of action does not estimate its independent effect.

T3 · Grewal How Disinformation Fueled the Tunisian Revolution 12 January 2024

Retrospective scholar analysis

Distinguishes rumored order refusal from conduct and beliefs about conduct.

T4 · Grewal Tunisia Shirking in the Revolution 2023

Original regional research

Publisher chapter abstract may require institutional access. T3 provides the author's accessible summary of the disputed refusal claim; it is not a substitute for the full chapter.

T5 · CRS Political Transition in Tunisia 2 February 2011

Institutional research hosted in a CRS archive

T6 · Venice Commission Tunisia constitution adopted 26 January 2014

Institutional record

T7 · Nobel Committee National Dialogue Quartet 2015 announcement

Retrospective institutional statement

Commemorative recognition is not causal identification.

T8 · Library of Congress Tunisia New Constitution Consolidates Presidential Powers 23 August 2022

Retrospective legal account

E1 · ITUC Egypt Supports Strikes and Protests 9 February 2011

Contemporaneous union report

Reports strikes in multiple sectors; explicitly says maritime traffic was not affected.

E2 · CRS Egypt The January 25 Revolution and Implications for US Foreign Policy 11 February 2011

Institutional research hosted in a CRS archive

FY2010 aid is historical; report release is after the initial case boundary.

E3 · Egypt State Information Service Supreme Council of the Armed Forces

Government retrospective record

Government retrospective record. If the page is unavailable, E2/E5 provide bounded contemporaneous institutional reporting; do not treat government framing as an independent democracy rating.

E4 · Carter Center Egypt Presidential Election Final Report 2012

Election observation report

Official replacement for the retired PDF URL. Report dated 21 December 2012; a limited witnessing mission, not unrestricted observation or blanket certification.

E5 · CRS Egypt in Crisis 12 September 2013

Institutional research hosted in a CRS archive

E6 · CRS Egypt Background and US Relations historical account

Retrospective institutional research

Historical 2014 account only. Automated access can be restricted. E5 supplies the 2013 removal sequence; E7 supplies historical 2014 appointment rules.

B1 · OSCE ODIHR Belarus protests 10 August 2020

Contemporaneous observation statement

ODIHR did not observe the election because it received no timely invitation.

B2 · Council of EU Belarus inauguration declaration 24 September 2020

Contemporaneous institutional position

EU judgment of legitimacy and evidence of continuing officeholding are different claims.

B3 · UN High Commissioner Belarus statement 4 December 2020

Contemporaneous UN statement

UN statement: more than 27,000 people reportedly arrested since 9 August. Not a count of people still detained, nor a verified measure of every arrest.

L1 · UN Geneva briefing Sri Lanka 5 April 2022

Contemporaneous UN briefing

L2 · Central Bank Sri Lanka Inflation in June 2022 CCPI 30 June 2022

Official economic release

Colombo CPI headline year-on-year inflation, base 2013=100. May 39.1%, June 54.6%. Access note: this primary-source destination restricted the automated link check; its availability may depend on browser or institutional access. The curated case evidence is included in the game.

L3 · Parliament Sri Lanka sitting 16 July 2022 resignation effective 14 July

Parliamentary record

Parliament's unedited sitting summary points to Hansard for the official record; resignation effective 14 July, summary dated 16 July.

L4 · Parliament Sri Lanka presidential election 20 July 2022

Parliamentary record

Unedited account directs readers to Hansard. 219 valid MP ballots, not national popular votes.

L5 · Council of EU Sri Lanka declaration 22 July 2022

Contemporaneous institutional statement

D1 · IES Organizing Instruction and Study to Improve Student Learning

Learning research practice guide

Supports instructional design choices; does not validate this game or its target timing.

T9 · Grewal A Quiet Revolution The Tunisian Military After Ben Ali 24 February 2016

Original regional research

Retrospective institutional account drawing on interviews; its 2016 expectations are not permanent outcome labels.

T10 · Carter Center Tunisia Election Observation Mission Report excerpt 28 December 2015

Retrospective election observation report

Reports on implemented 2014 legislative and presidential elections. Genuine choice and orderly polling coexist with legal and administrative weaknesses.

T11 · CRS Political Transition in Tunisia 11 August 2015

Retrospective institutional research

Describes the negotiated technocratic transition and acceptance of 2014 results; archival host reproduces CRS, not the original publisher.

E7 · Egypt Constitution historical 2014 text Article 234

Primary legal text in translation

Historical 2014 version, not the amended 2019 text. SCAF approval for appointment of the defense minister, specified for two full presidential terms from entry into effect. A formal rule does not prove every actual decision.

B4 · OSCE Moscow Mechanism rapporteur report on Belarus 5 November 2020

Independent fact-finding report

Wolfgang Benedek, cover dated 29 October, presented 5 November. Printed pages 33-34 discuss factory strikes, dismissal threats and detained strike leaders. Remote interviews/submissions; Belarus declined participation.

L6 · UN Resident Coordinator interview on Sri Lankan crisis 17 May 2022

Contemporaneous institutional interview

Hanaa Singer-Hamdy interviewed 13 May, published 17 May. Describes participating organizations and functioning technical ministries from the UN's position; not a causal estimate.